Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000076 0.000079 0.000083 0.000087 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000076 0.000082 0.000089 0.000097 0.000105 0.000116
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000074 0.000082 0.000090 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000075 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108 0.000124 0.000146
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092 0.000107 0.000125 0.000150
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000068 0.000077 0.000089 0.000105 0.000125 0.000152
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000066 0.000076 0.000089 0.000106 0.000128 0.000160
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000091 0.000109 0.000135 0.000173
2025-03-30 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000109 0.000136 0.000178
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000061 0.000071 0.000086 0.000106 0.000133 0.000177
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000102 0.000129 0.000172
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000079 0.000098 0.000125 0.000168
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000079 0.000100 0.000130 0.000179
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000103 0.000137 0.000195
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000054 0.000065 0.000082 0.000106 0.000144 0.000212
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000055 0.000067 0.000086 0.000114 0.000158 0.000244
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065 0.000083 0.000112 0.000157 0.000247
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081 0.000109 0.000154 0.000246
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000081 0.000110 0.000158 0.000258
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000050 0.000063 0.000082 0.000113 0.000166 0.000282
2025-06-22 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000081 0.000112 0.000167 0.000289
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000078 0.000109 0.000162 0.000284
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000045 0.000057 0.000075 0.000104 0.000155 0.000272